I have grand ideas for a future fantasy website, a one stop shop for news, analysis, stats, strategy, and fantasy games … for now I am starting with content creation and setting myself up with AI to support with reports and data. The goal is to keep up these 5 posts or most of them through spring training, and to re-assess and add more over time to the extent that I have the capacity to do so. This is largely an evening activity and I have a day job and a family including two sons who seemingly love baseball.
I will keep this short, but to introduce myself. My name is Trey Ashley. I’m a math person and one of those people whose brain never rests, solving work problems in the back of my head during off hours, for example. It’s a struggle to turn off and i have a backlog of entrepreneurial ideas, most of which revolve around baseball and some around real estate. I was always exceptional at math – in a calculate in my head multiplication sort of way – and am extremely logic-oriented. I see patterns and inconsistencies everywhere, particularly in numbers, and am somewhat of an otrovert. I was a business major and after suggestion ended up pursuing a CPA license and career thereafter. About 5 years later, I changed course by switching within my organization to a fund management analyst role, overseeing real estate portolios in emerging markets, performing modeling and reporting to investors. I’m in a similar but elevated role now and have become the go-to trainer for this large company’s annual US-wide early-hire training on excel, cash flow forecasting, and asset management analysis. Nowadays, I oversee a US portfolio with developments and value add operational property investments.
My background in baseball goes back to age 2 with my step-grandfather tossing balls to me in the yard. My parents first date was to an Astros game. In addition to baseball, I played soccer, basketball and swam, all competitively on the equivalent of travel teams. I was successful and could have pursued any, but baseball and specifically pitching was always my passion. I had weekly year-round personal pitching and hitting training from age 10-18. One on one, two different semi-pro level coaches. I played on legion and all-stars every year and was captain of my HS team my senior year, with something like 35 innings, a good ERA and strike outs but sometimes bunches of walks. I was a strong hitter and fielder too, and remained on the field frequently other than pitching. I went to Florida to a small D2 school, gained 15 lbs of muscle in 6-months training there, and played on the JV team. We practiced and scrimmaged the main team who went on to win the D2 championship (the year after I left) and is annually top 10. We played JuCos in Florida and I did fine but the defense behind me was awful. A change of pitching coach to start year 2 caused me to want to transfer and I landed in Virginia, where I ended up switching to Club ball instead of the daily grind of more college baseball (I prioritized social life and getting a job, as server). As a young adult, i continued playing on teams year round and usually on multiple, until a certain age when i prioritized work and finding a wife.
Over time I have cross pollinated, the work and fantasy worlds. Value is value. Time value applies in dynasty fantasy baseball for example. I have implemented DCF principles into my dynasty fantasy baseball management plans, specifically trade and team analysis. My algorithm allows comparison of players’ present values (a single number) with different timelines, risk profiles, upsides and floors. I intend to publish content on this and it may be a flagship annual post – to rank the top …. however many …. by present value based on my methodology and judgment. And going the other direction, the experiences over 13+ years playing in many dynasty leagues, having to analyze my team like a portfolio, thinking about and planning for the future, trying to trade (another post in my head i need to get out about trade approach, tact etc), and maybe most importantly learning how to deal with other people to try to get things done (trade).
Add up the advanced excel / finance and business skills with my baseball passion and knowledge, and sprinkle in enough social acumen, and honestly, my ideal (dream) job is probably baseball team general manager. Until such a time … I’ll share my analytical perspectives here and in doing so, hopefully provide you a consistent source of bite size but impactful news – better than sifting through other sites with ads and such, and better than the super simple ones on one site and the infrequent ones on another.
Welcome outreach, feedback. This is all for fun. My fun and yours.
Trey
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