Spring stats don’t predict regular season performance. You know this, I know this. But spring DATA — velocity, spin rates, exit velocities, swing decisions — those can tell real stories. Here’s what caught my eye this week by position.

Catchers

Ethan Salas, SDP — Salas is getting MLB spring reps, which is encouraging for his development timeline, but the numbers are ugly: 77.7 mph average exit velocity ranks near the bottom of all spring hitters. Dynasty owners shouldn’t panic — he’s 19 years old playing against major leaguers — but the “2026 impact bat” narrative needs to cool. He’s a 2027-2028 asset. Adjust your valuations accordingly.

First Base

Jac Caglianone, KC — The headline machine. Hit a ball 120.2 mph in a spring training game. Only seven hitters have ever broken 120 mph in a regular season MLB game (Stanton, Cruz, Judge, Ohtani, Vlad Jr., Acuña, Sánchez). The raw power is generational. The 23-year-old also has a 116.5 mph double and a 115.2 mph homer. The strikeout rate (36%) and swing-and-miss rate (32%) are concerns, but that kind of exit velocity raises your ceiling as a hitter to a place most players can never reach. Dynasty stash if he’s available in your league.

Shortstop

Konnor Griffin, PIT — 111.2 mph, 440-foot home run. Seven of his 12 batted balls have been 100+ mph. The 19-year-old is chasing too much (32%) and hasn’t walked, but his 30.2 ft/sec sprint speed ranks 30th among all spring baserunners. The tools are absurd. He’s not ready for the majors but he might force his way onto the Pirates’ Opening Day roster through sheer talent.

Jordan Lawlar, ARI — Moved to center field full-time this spring. Slashing .348/.483/.783 with three homers. The strikeout rate (27.6%) is elevated but he’s walking at a 20.7% clip. With Lourdes Gurriel Jr. expected to start on the IL, Lawlar has a real path to everyday at-bats. This could be a breakout year.

Outfield

Zack Veen, COL — After cleaning up his life this offseason and adding 40 pounds of muscle, Veen hit the longest homer of the spring: 113.3 mph, 468 feet. Colorado prospects always come with the Coors caveat, but that kind of raw power demands attention. He was a forgotten first-round pick; don’t let him stay forgotten.

Starting Pitchers

Chase Burns, CIN — The most electric arm in spring training. Half of the swings against him are misses. Fastball averaging 97.4 mph with a 41% whiff rate. Slider at 90.2 mph with a 75% whiff rate. Those aren’t real numbers — those are video game numbers. The 23-year-old was already a top prospect; he might be a top-20 SP from Opening Day. If he’s still available in your league, he won’t be for long.

Carlos Lagrange, NYY — Averaging 100 mph on his fastball. Threw the fastest strikeout pitch of the spring at 102.0 mph. He and Mason Miller are the only two players averaging triple digits. At 22, the stuff is eye-popping. He’s a prospect stash with closer upside if the Yankees use him in relief.

Mick Abel, MIN — Getting the start in place of the injured Pablo López. Hit 98+ mph this spring and looked sharp. The Twins acquired him in last summer’s sell-off and he’s getting the opportunity of a lifetime. At 24, with this kind of velocity, he could be a streaming option early and a roster lock by June if the command holds.

Relief Pitchers

Bryan Abreu, HOU — With Hader on the IL, Abreu is Houston’s closer. He’s been one of the top setup men in baseball over the past four years (2.30 ERA, 12.7 K/9). Dynasty RP values are volatile, but Abreu with saves eligibility is a top-10 RP asset. If your league counts saves and holds separately, his value just jumped significantly.